2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Hunter Goodman 6 HRs · 2 Nick Kurtz 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 4 Corbin Carroll 4 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 6 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 7 Tyler Soderstrom 4 HRs · 8 Marcus Semien 4 HRs · 9 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 3 HRs · 11 Brooks Lee 3 HRs · 12 Cedric Mullins 3 HRs 1 Hunter Goodman 6 HRs · 2 Nick Kurtz 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 4 Corbin Carroll 4 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 6 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 7 Tyler Soderstrom 4 HRs · 8 Marcus Semien 4 HRs · 9 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 3 HRs · 11 Brooks Lee 3 HRs · 12 Cedric Mullins 3 HRs
Ketel Marte
Ketel Marte
AZ SHB
Ketel Marte

Ketel Marte

SHB
AZ · 49 appearances tracked
6
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
12.2%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
21.3%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
91.8
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.174
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#2
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 5 games · 6 HRs in 49 games
Due (1×)
1.2×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
6
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
5
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
49
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
4
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#106.8
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
49 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-11 #0.961 Tyler Phillips S/R * 0.0% ⚪ D · — ·
2026-06-10 #86 Ryan Gusto S/R * 9.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-09 #92 Max Meyer S/R * 15.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-07 #101 Cade Cavalli S/R * 14.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-06 #44 Zack Littell S/R * 22.2% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-06-05 #52 Foster Griffin S/L * 25.5% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-06-04 #71 Justin Wrobleski S/L * 13.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-02 #51 Eric Lauer S/L * 19.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-01 #54 Emmet Sheehan S/R * 19.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-31 #127 Bryce Miller S/R * 15.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-30 #51 Bryan Woo S/R * 21.7% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-29 #81 George Kirby S/R * 17.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-27 #64 Trevor McDonald S/R * 25.5% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-26 #55 Tyler Mahle S/R * 15.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ 💥
2026-05-25 #93 Landen Roupp S/R * 14.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-24 #75 Jose Quintana S/L * 10.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-22 #86 Tomoyuki Sugano S/R * 11.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-21 #55 Zach Agnos S/R * 9.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-20 #120 Tyler Mahle S/R * 8.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-19 #154 Landen Roupp S/R * 7.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-18 #164 Robbie Ray S/L * 6.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-16 #63 Tomoyuki Sugano S/R * 15.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-15 #75 Kyle Freeland S/L * 9.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-13 #194 Kumar Rocker S/R * 10.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-12 #192 MacKenzie Gore S/L * 6.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-11 #78 Nathan Eovaldi S/R * 13.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-10 #220 Huascar Brazobán S/R * 9.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-09 #217 Clay Holmes S/R * 10.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-08 #209 Nolan McLean S/R * 8.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-07 #154 Mitch Keller S/R * 7.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-06 #236 Paul Skenes S/R * 10.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-05 #96 Bubba Chandler S/R * 10.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-03 #28 Matthew Boyd S/L * 13.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-02 #78 Shota Imanaga S/L * 10.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-01 #49 Colin Rea S/R * 11.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-04-30 #105 Brandon Woodruff S/R * 9.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-29 #133 Brandon Sproat S/R * 10.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-28 #123 Chad Patrick S/R * 9.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-26 #108 Michael King S/R * 11.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-04-25 #87 Germán Márquez S/R 21.1% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-04-23 #81 Davis Martin S/R 15.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-04-22 #134 Anthony Kay S/L 16.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-21 #127 Sean Burke S/R 16.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-19 #204 Kevin Gausman S/R 18.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-04-18 #148 Max Scherzer S/R 21.4% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-04-17 #123 Eric Lauer S/L 22.9% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-04-15 #2 Kyle Bradish S/R 40.5% 🔥 A+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-14 #108 Trevor Rogers S/L 4.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-10 #76 Jesús Luzardo S/L 14.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·

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